Why AI’s Economics Are Moving Downstream
There is an economic idea from that same era that offers another useful lens: specialization.
Published on March 9, 1776, An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations by Scottish economist Adam Smith illustrated the idea of specialization with his famous pin-factory example. It showed how dividing work into specialized tasks could dramatically increase output.
The software industry, more specifically SaaS, carries that idea of specialization. SaaS products are typically built around a defined problem for a defined group of users. A CRM manages customer relationships. An HR platform manages people operations. The product is specialized. Their business model largely revolves around building a product once and distributing it repeatedly at scale.
AI is different.
The most powerful AI models are increasingly general purpose. The same model can write code for a developer, analyze documents for a bank, support a customer service team or help a manufacturer make sense of operational data.
But I firmly believe in the opportunity this generalization of AI models brings for the service industry. The more general the underlying intelligence becomes, the more specialized its application may need to be. And this is exactly where the AI economy starts moving downstream—from building and distributing intelligence to specializing how that intelligence is applied.
This creates an interesting economic intersection:
• Distribution plus Repetition equals Product economics
• Specialization plus Application equals Services economics
Companies like OpenAI and Microsoft are trying to combine both. Build and distribute a general-purpose capability at scale, then specialize its application for each business, workflow and outcome.